What do you think this nights speech will do for points for Trump in the polls?
Maybe a minor bump, but I don't expect any serious movement one way or another.
What do you think about Pence?
The first real mis-step of Trump's campaign.
It won't cost Trump any voters or anything (it's not Palin level bad), but Trump had a real opportunity here to expand his coalition and excite independents. Instead, he declined that option and went with what he was advised was the "safe pick." I understand that the thinking goes along the lines of- Trump had to unify with the evangelicals. But here's the thing, evangelicals weren't going to vote for Clinton anyway. So what if some of them stay home? They are heavily concentrated in states that Trump was already winning.
Instead, Trump could've sent a strong signal to independents by going outside the box, such as with Gen. Flynn, or doubling down on the scorched earth approach, by picking a Christie or Gingrich. I understand that Flynn was a bit of an unknown, Ivanka's husband had personal issues with Christie, and the fear was Gingrich would be uncontrollable. I still would've rolled the dice with Gingrich.
Sure, Gingrich is a bit of a throwback to the 90s, but he's shown he can keep himself relevant by coming up with new ideas, even if some of them are kinda kooky. Pence, in some ways, is actually more of a throwback- he's a straight Bush-era style neo-con bible thumper, and that type of conservatism isn't really popular anymore (at least, in the states Trump already isn't winning). Plus, Gingrich is a capable debater.
On top of that, Pence's ideology is basically the opposite of Trump's on every major issue. This presents a couple of problems- first, it raises the question of how loyal Pence would actually be if Trump won. Second, it invites questions over how sincere Trump really is about his big issues.
So yeah, bad pick. Not fatal or anything, but a serious missed opportunity.