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Carrie Mathison

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Carrie Mathison last won the day on July 31 2017

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  1. This place is still here? Well I'll be goddamned.
  2. Marc If by Hailey, you mean Hailey Idaho.. then yes, I've flown in there a few times before, to go to Sun Valley. Not every year, but it's in the rotation of places I visit in the winter- one of my top 5 favorite ski-towns in the US.
  3. MG... basically, what Brando said. I was going to type out a response, but he said almost exactly what I was going to. Also, don't make the mistake of thinking I believe the GOP's approach over the last 6 months was either good politics or policy. As my (way too) long posts on the last couple pages should have indicated, my disapproval is quite high right now.
  4. I was thinking about this comment. Aren't you used to not seeing **** in Connecticut? I spent a month there once and I swear all I saw was trees and strippers. I am obviously exaggerating, but as pretty as Connecticut was, and as cool as the trip was, I have never been more glad to get back to the mountains. I was suffering from what I can only describe as claustrophobia from always being surrounded by ****ing trees and not being able to see what was around me. It is disorienting for me not to be able to see mountains in the distance and get my bearings. Besides, it's expensive for an Idah
  5. hahaha nah Chalup, it's not that bad yet. I'm not going anywhere. I'm not upset about the actual failure to repeal. There was no intended "tone of disappointment" with that last post. What I was upset about, and hoping my multiple overly-long posts on this topic would indicate, is the poor politics played by the GOP. That I am disappointed in, especially when McConnell was supposed to be this great congressional strategist and everything. We're in the exact same place we were in 6 months ago and have nothing to show for it. The budget/debt ceiling is up next, and then it'll be the holi
  6. That's it- it's over. Final vote was just held in a midnight session. And it went down exactly how I predicted it would. Earlier this week, repeal and replace (with the Cruz amendment) failed 43-57. 'Repeal only' failed 45-55. Vote just held on McConnell's hail mary... what was being called, the "skinny repeal," (essentially just repealing a portion, the individual mandate, with the hopes of knocking out a bill in conference committee with the House). Failed just now 49-51. GOP votes against: McCain (Arizona) Murkowski (Alaska) Collins (Maine) I was surprised to see Capito and Hel
  7. I wasn't bored by the anecdotes. What I said is they are unhelpful for crafting nation-wide policy, when you have to look at the bigger picture. Sure, we could afford more if we cut spending in all those areas Chalup. Meanwhile, however, I live in reality. The Democrats candidate this past election, you know- the supposed "party of the working class," was a candidate funded by Goldman Sachs, paid over $200k a speech, up to $22mil in 2 years. This was, to me, always the much bigger deal than the e-mail scandal, but did anyone care? (crickets in the background). No, of course not, and t
  8. Life expectancy in the US pre-Obamacare was 78.54 years. Life expectancy after Obamacare by 2015 was 78.74 years. Life expectancy generally in the US has been on an upward trend since 1968, when it was 69.95 years. The largest gains were in the 1970s, and it started plateauing in the 78 yr range in the 2000s. It is possible, though I think probably unlikely that the increase in .20 years is attributable directly to policy, and probably more to general societal trends (better diet, education, etc.) and advances in medical technology. But let's assume that entire .20 was due to Obamacare.
  9. Well MG, I dunno that the current system actually causes any outright deaths... I mean, it's not like people are literally dying out in the streets like during the Spanish Flu or the Black Plague or something. The problem is more that people get their care via the emergency room since it's the only time they can't be turned away for not having insurance, and then they get heavily in debt with bills they never are gonna be able to pay. Ultimately then, they file for bankruptcy. I can't remember the actual percentage number, but the amount of bankruptcies that are related to medical bills is
  10. And one more thing on that- if that is where we end up, that's OK. And most Republicans won't care either, especially establishment Republicans, and even more so if the GOP can get through legislation on something like tax reform. Outside of the libertarians, there are few Republicans that actually care that much about health care, or are even read up on this complex issue and fully understand all its intricacies. Opposition was never about the bill, it was about demagoguing the issue and riling up the base by attacking Obama's legislation. If we get stuck with the bill, then LOL... whatev
  11. Maybe, but I've seen some Hill insiders suggest (and I think they're on to something here), that McConnell and Schumer will just cut a back room deal later to stabilize the exchanges when nobody's watching. Maybe as part of the upcoming budget/debt ceiling fight- it can be quietly placed in a larger bill. The thinking goes like this- while both the Dems/GOP can just let it fail, the GOP then becomes vulnerable to attacks along the lines of "you didn't do anything to fix it, you're ineffectual/worthless in Congress bla bla," while the Dems become vulnerable to attacks like "well, your law su
  12. Well, I sorta already addressed that. I don't think the base really would care that much Kurgan: If the GOP absolutely has to do something, then they can just hold a straight repeal vote in February (it would fail). A lot of people, such as in right-wing media and the like, were pushing this anyway, the "repeal on day 1 vote". It would fail, and the GOP could move on. We'd be in the exact same place we are right now, except with the benefit of not having lost 5-6 months. But I think the GOP could just get away with doing nothing at all- just say you'll fix it later when you got time,
  13. There was never a way the GOP could've repealed/replaced. It was never gonna happen. See my post above to Chalup and my last couple posts on this. The votes weren't there and they never were gonna be there. The outcome we got was the only one possible.
  14. Chalup, I don't think stubbornness or inflexibility has much to do with it. It has more to do with political realities. For the conservative members, they can't just cave in to a plan or risk primary challenges- this is why you saw some of the more Tea Party types on the House bill dragging their heels. But they're not even really the problem, because at the end of the day, after they made enough noise, they all ended up going along with Ryan's bill. The problem is more so the moderates. The opposition right now in the Senate is mostly from the moderates, not the right. People like Cruz
  15. Well, it looks like repeal/replace is finally dead. Actually it died yesterday, and although McConnell made a last-ditch effort this morning to try and sell "repeal only," that didn't have the votes either. So, we're back where we started, 4 months ago when we started this thread, and unfortunately it played out exactly as I said it would on page 1. Sometimes it sucks to be right all the time: The problem is, whether you love it or loathe it, Obamacare, or some version of it (whether it be the GOP's Obamacare-lite or whatever), was the only plan that was ever going to get through Congress,
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