13 replies to this topic

[Lucas1138]

Methodology: I went through the schedule week by week and picked the games. It was basically an exercise of "who would I favor in this game." As a result, the records skew high on top and low on bottom. The basic order holds true though.

 

AFC

1. Indianapolis 14-2

2. Denver 14-2

3. Pittsburgh 13-3

4. New England 13-3

5. Baltimore 12-4

6. San Diego

 

NFC

1. Green Bay 15-1

2. Seattle 13-3

3. Dallas 13-3

4. New Orleans 12-4

5. Philadelphia 12-4

6. Arizona 10-6

 

4 New England over 5 Baltimore

3 Pittsburgh over 6 San Diego

1 Indianapolis over 4 New England

2 Denver over 3 Pittsburgh

1 Indianapolis over 2 Denver

 

4 New Orleans over 5 Philadelphia

3 Dallas over 6 Arizona

1 Green Bay over 4 New Orleans

2 Seattle over 3 Dallas

1 Green Bay over 2 Seattle

 

1 Indianapolis over 1 Green Bay

 

 

AFC North

Pittsburgh 13-3

Baltimore 12-4

Cincinnati 7-9

Cleveland 2-14

 

AFC East

New England 13-3

Miami 9-7

Buffalo 8-8

New York Jets 3-13

 

AFC South

Indianapolis 14-2

Houston 8-8

Tennessee 5-11

Jacksonville 1-15

 

AFC West

Denver 14-2

San Diego 10-6

Kansas City 7-9

Oakland 1-15

 

 

NFC East

Dallas 13-3

Philadelphia 13-3

New York Giants 6-10

Washington 1-15

 

NFC South

New Orleans 12-4

Atlanta 10-6

Carolina 7-9

Tampa Bay 2-14

 

NFC North

Green Bay 15-1

Detroit 9-7

Minnesota 7-9

Chicago 5-11

 

NFC West

Seattle 13-3

Arizona 10-6

St. Louis 5-11

San Francisco 3-13

[The Choc]

That's alot of really good records. 8 teams with 13 wins? Last year there were none. Year before that 2. Before that 2 again. I just see no way that many teams win that many games. Also, there is no way 3 teams win only 1 game each. Quick and easy I'd say this

 

AFC

East

Pats 12-4

Phins 9-7

Bills 8-8

Jets 6-10

 

North

Pitts 11-5

Balt 10-6

Cincy 10-6

Browns 5-11

 

South

Colts 12-4

Texans 8-8

Titans 5-11

Jax 2-14

 

West

Broncos 12-4

Chargers 10-6

Chiefs 8-8

Raiders 4-12

 

NFC East

Boys 11-5

Giants 9-7

Eagles 9-7

Skins 3-13

 

North

Pack 12-4

Lions 8-8

VIkes 7-9

Bears 6-10

 

South

Saints 10-6

Panthers 9-7

Falcons 8-8

Bucs 5-11

 

West

Hawks 13-3

Cards 10-6

Rams 9-7

Niners 4-12

[Lucas1138]

Previously addressed:

Methodology: I went through the schedule week by week and picked the games. It was basically an exercise of "who would I favor in this game." As a result, the records skew high on top and low on bottom. The basic order holds true though.

 

[The Choc]

You can't expect me to read your whole post, can you?

[The Choc]

But in reality it woulda been quicker to read that one sentence rather than going back and looking up the standings for the previous few seasons to make my point.

[Sir RamaLamaDingDong]

AFC:

Steelers 12-4

Colts 12-4

Chargers 10-6

Dolphins 10-6

Pats  9-7

Chiefs 9-7

 

Bills/Texans/Raiders in the hunt

 

Bottom 5:

Jets 6-10

Titans 6-10

Browns 4-12

Jags 4-12

Bengals 3-13

 

NFC:

Rams 12-4

Eagles 12-4

Vikings 10-6

Falcons 10-6

Seahawks 10-6

Lions 9-7

 

Saints/Cards/Giants in the hunt

 

Bottom 5:

Bears 5-11

Panthers 5-11

49ers 2-14

Skins 3-13

Bucs 4-12

 

Superbowl:

Steelers vs Lions 25-21

[ShadowDog]

Looking around the most popular NFL sites the Packers are the sexy pick for the NFC. I'd agree expect for losing their best receiver. Sure its not like losing your QB but a key drop here and there is probably worth a couple extra losses. The margin for error in the NFL is so low.

[Lucas1138]

I generally agree... but Aaron Rodgers, man. He's so good. He's the level beyond good.

[The Choc]

The trendy pick is nearly always the teams that lose in the Conference Title Games the year before.

[Tex]

Yep. The ballsy ones are the guys who go with the teams who lost in the divisional round. You never see anyone pick a 6-10 team to go all the way, because ultimately they don't know ****. If they did they'd be more than just NFL "analysts." They're just fans who spew their **** out and hope they can keep it going for as long as they can.

And why not? Does anyone really remember just how wrong these guys are year after year?

[Lucas1138]

For the record, this is what I had last year:

 

AFC

1. Denver (14-2)

2. New England (13-3)

3. Indianapolis (12-4)

4. Pittsburgh (11-5)

5. San Diego (11-5)

6. Cincinnati (10-6)

 

NFC

1. Seattle (13-3)

2. New Orleans (13-3)

3. Green Bay (13-3)

4. Philadelphia (10-6)

5. San Francisco (11-5)

6. Carolina Panthers (10-6)

 

I got 5/6 AFC teams right, but only 3/6 NFC teams (NFCS boned me, picked the wrong NFCW team).... I did have 5 of the final 8 nailed down - not that they were particularly difficult to predict (Denver, New England, Indy, Seattle, Green Bay). My one big regret was having Dallas miss out on tiebreak. I loved that team last year. As a result I probably overcompensated this year.

[Darth Krawlie]

I'm not doing full win/loss standings, but here's what I got.

 

NFC East

1. Dallas (3)

2. Philadelphia

3. New York

4. Washington

 

NFC North

1. Green Bay (1)

2. Minnesota (5)

3. Detroit

4. Chicago

 

NFC South

1. Carolina (4)

2. New Orleans

3. Atlanta

4. Tampa Bay

 

NFC West

1. Seattle (2)

2. Arizona (6)

3. St Louis

4. San Francisco

 

AFC East

1. New England (3)

2. Miami (6)

3. Buffalo

4. New York

 

AFC North

1. Pittsburgh (2)

2. Baltimore (5)

3. Cincinnati

4. Cleveland

 

AFC South

1. Indianapolis (1)

2. Houston

3. Jacksonville

4. Tennessee

 

AFC West

1. Denver (4)

2. Kansas City

3. San Diego

4. Oakland

 

Minnesota over Carolina

Dallas over Arizona

Green Bay over Minnesota

Seattle over Dallas

Green Bay over Seattle

 

Baltimore over Denver

New England over Miami

Indianapolis over Baltimore

Pittsburgh over New England

Indianapolis over Pittsburgh

 

Green Bay over Indianapolis

 

Kind of predictable and nothing too exciting from me this year. I know I'll be annoyed with myself for most of these come playoff time.

[Lucas1138]

I really tried to talk myself into Minnesota or Miami, but I just couldn't. I can see the pieces there for both of those teams and a playoff season won't shock me, but I want to see it happen first before I become a believer.

[ShadowDog]

Miami wouldn't shock me. Minn would.